Popov V.V., Tsypin A.P.
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS OF INCOME CUSTOMS PAYMENTS TO THE FEDERAL BUDGET IN TODAY'S ECONOMY ^{[№ 13 ' 2015]}
During the period of economic reform, a system of customs authorities, which corresponds to modern conditions of the international market. With the help of this system has considerable statistical information, which reflects the structure and dynamics of the collection of customs duties, the amount of goods transported through the customs border of the EAEC, and the mechanism of foreign trade and domestic prices, etc. Under these conditions, there is a need of economic and statistical study of the above data to identify patterns of development and implementation of forecasting the state of the phenomenon in the future. The article presents an attempt to build a dynamic model of a statistically significant number of customs payments to the federal budget in the current external economic environment of the Russian Federation. The sequence of steps of the analysis of time series. Constructed an econometric model that takes into account the structural changes in the dynamics of the analyzed a number of levels and a forecast for 2015. According to the results of the study revealed that a significant reduction in customs duties calls into question the economic viability of the continued functioning of the Orenburg customs. The estimated model of "collapse" has confirmed the hypothesis about the impact of the change of status of the Orenburg customs (from the outside to the inside) on the amount of customs duties collected.

Tsypin A.P., Timofeev D.N.
STATISTICAL RESEARCH OF INDICATORS OF RAILWAY TRANSPORT ON THE BASIS OF HISTORICAL TIME SERIES ^{[№ 8 ' 2014]}
In article tendencies of development of railway transport in Russia are considered, thus as evidential base historical time series of the main indicators during 1956-2011 are used. Those indicators are the passenger turnover and a rail freight turnover, thus a choice is caused by reasons of a certain general productivity of these indicators, i.e. investigating their dynamics it is possible to receive idea of all processes and the phenomena occurring in this type of economic activity (branch of a national economy). On the basis of the created historical time series decrease depth in this direction in the modern period (Russian Federation) rather previous (RSFSR) is visually shown. Application of adaptive methods of short-term forecasting to historical time series allowed to construct the forecast for the forthcoming period and to estimate the period of an exit to the level of development reached in the past.

Tsypin A.P.
COMPARABILITY OF INDICATORS, THE PHENOMENA AND PROCESSES IN TIME: PROBLEM STATEMENT ^{[№ 13 ' 2010]}
In article the available material in the field of comparability of time numbers is generalized and on this basis the author the technique of reduction of levels of a time number to the uniform basis is offered.

Tsypin O.A.
PROBLEMS OF ACTUAL SYNTAX IN THE RUSSIAN LANGUAGE (TYPOLOGICAL THEORY OF PREDICATES EXPERIENCE). ^{[№ 6 ' 2002]}
The change in the scientific and pedagogical thought in the middle of the XX century and in the beginning of the XXI century, reflected in the syntax theory of the Russian language, is depicted in the article.