Vygolova I.N., Larina T.N., Benkovskaya L.V.
DYNAMIC RANGE PERIODIZATION AS INFORMATION AND ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK OF THE DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY OF VOCATIONAL EDUCATION IN ORENBURG REGION ^{[№ 13 ' 2015]}
Vocational education system is an important subject of public administration and is constantly in the focus of public attention. This fact determines the need for the development of information and analytical support of the management process of this sphere. The article presents an analysis of the vocational education system of the Orenburg region in retrospect from 2000 to 2014. The information base for the study were the official data Orenburgstata. Scorecard includes 5 indicators (number of outstanding specialists with higher education per 10,000 of the population, the number of admitted students in the training programs of training mid-level professionals per 10,000 population, etc.). The purpose of research — to implement the periodization of the complex dynamics of the development of a number of study areas that should ensure the allocation of time slices that are experiencing the most significant change in the system. As a result, allocated three homogeneous period in the development of professional education of the Orenburg region (2000–2004 years — the period with the lowest software professional staff and middle level of demand for educational services; 2005–2010 — "peak" period to change the demand for educational services ; the years 2011–2014 — still enough to ensure a high level of professional staff with a sharp decrease in demand for educational services). Periodization performed by algorithms of multivariate statistical methods (cluster and factor). The results of calculations by different methods consistent with each other, which indicates that the objective character of the periodization. The periodization of the dynamic series will enable further measures to adjust the public administration sphere of education, as well as improve the accuracy of forecasts of the regional economy needs for qualified personnel.